Americans are unhappy with the partisan sniping this election cycle. Does this mean they might turn to independent candidates? Some of them are playing a big role in their respective races.
In fact, they could cause a big shift that might have seismic consequences in the battle for the Senate.
For example, independents could spoil things for the Republicans in Kansas and South Dakota. Those seats were supposed to be easy pickups for the GOP but it turns out that the Republican candidates are surprisingly weak.
Imagine, if the independent candidates win, they could hold the key to control of the Senate.
Is it possible that this move towards independents is a broader trend in American politics, one that’s likely to grow in the coming years? It appears as though not many people like the two party model anymore and that voting independent could the thing of the future.
Besides, many Democrats and Republicans simply won't identify with their party because of its current reputation. And the reputation of Republicans and Democrats are not exactly fantastic. Republicans often say crazy things, and have radical views and Democrats are discouraged with Obama.
Many prefer to be seen as independents.
The increasing polarization of the two parties has definitely caused a rise in the number of independent candidates. When two parties become more ideologically distinct from each other, you see a greater success rate for independent candidates. They represent middle ground, they are moderate. The Gallup tracking poll most recently showed that those candidates identifying themselves as independents hit a record-high 47 percent in September.
The interesting thing is that when independents were asked which party they lean towards, more chose the Republican Party than the Democratic Party. This shows that more Republicans are dissatisfied with their party than Democrats.
There's an explanation for why this election cycle independents are picking up traction in two deep-red states. More moderate Republican voters are finding themselves disaffected with the Republican Party
Thing are changing. Decades ago being part of a party meant being part of social network; politics was more of a communal activity. In today’s world it doesn’t work that way.
So, the party is not what it used to be which has given independents a structural opening to mount credible campaigns. There's also the rising influence of deep-pocketed outside groups, and a wide range of media options for candidates to get their messages to voters. Candidates do not need a large party apparatus or party money as much anymore
If Americans give independents a chance, the workings of Congress may see a transformation too. This could be a historic moment in American politics, when an independent caucus ends the poisonous disputes between the Republicans and Democrats.
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